Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 102.092286 116.530764 133.051067 153.522786 178.448675 208.125671 2.466104e+02
2025-04-13 81.362373 99.318657 121.875477 152.913137 195.537475 253.650186 3.419428e+02
2025-04-20 72.460905 92.619702 119.656752 159.827667 220.359698 312.553564 4.735502e+02
2025-04-27 67.610997 89.769335 121.168854 171.044895 252.801384 391.200893 6.697883e+02
2025-05-04 60.804126 82.916977 115.504273 169.863712 264.841533 439.663007 8.363516e+02
2025-05-11 56.054786 78.285101 112.225118 171.458938 281.424995 501.280469 1.066768e+03
2025-05-18 51.379578 73.130415 107.295791 169.173134 290.057225 549.791353 1.299667e+03
2025-05-25 48.315094 70.088830 105.287109 171.512559 308.037653 625.363497 1.672466e+03
2025-06-01 45.074629 66.401028 101.692978 170.226036 318.096632 686.310491 2.062259e+03
2025-06-08 42.026669 62.724536 97.669002 167.411828 324.081063 739.482793 2.489569e+03
2025-06-15 40.516227 61.456957 97.706351 172.608899 349.877246 861.086153 3.418131e+03
2025-06-22 37.385840 57.160856 91.817346 164.681507 341.762977 875.406538 3.812610e+03
2025-06-29 35.396246 54.898095 89.847647 165.699128 359.381963 994.450086 5.247287e+03
2025-07-06 33.349973 52.392375 87.214211 165.021318 373.116084 1113.834978 7.229538e+03
2025-07-13 32.434810 51.810701 88.190204 172.685650 413.391428 1376.599852 1.252486e+04
2025-07-20 32.033813 52.115293 90.939278 185.144393 474.003187 1810.022525 2.740390e+04
2025-07-27 30.388643 49.935405 88.338982 183.831043 489.268275 2031.338110 4.478641e+04
2025-08-03 29.162010 48.449442 87.024340 185.604843 516.513315 2371.358319 9.017387e+04
2025-08-10 27.699722 46.392061 84.270131 183.063348 527.060528 2621.750529 1.708843e+05
2025-08-17 26.751608 45.269960 83.436002 185.664478 559.407894 3113.190013 5.580756e+05
2025-08-24 25.589978 43.637166 81.303604 184.233874 574.885443 3503.327760 2.169527e+06
2025-08-31 24.405097 41.878440 78.726676 181.105877 582.098090 3842.049974 1.583568e+07
2025-09-07 23.884798 41.432414 79.108801 186.883911 633.509139 4865.196281 NaN